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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

本菲卡 vs 伊斯托裏爾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.96 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝82%
12%
客勝6%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝82% selection probability
Projected score3–1本菲卡伊斯托裏爾
Expected goals3.96初盤 match profile
Goals 2.575% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
82% / 12% / 6%比賽結果主勝82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 伊斯托裏爾 win (6.3%)雙重機會1X93.7%1.07
大 75% · 小 25%Goals 2.575%1.33
是 52% · 否 48%雙方進球52%1.92
3.96 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gap伊斯托裏爾 winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
本菲卡 win82%1.221.1781.7%+0.3 pp
12%8.338.0011.9%+0.1 pp
伊斯托裏爾 win6%16.6715.006.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

本菲卡3.17

主隊 share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.96初盤

Dedicated goals model: 75% · 25%

伊斯托裏爾0.79

客隊 share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 52% · 48%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

本菲卡

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

伊斯托裏爾

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
贏 probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
3
3.17
Expected goals
0.79
本菲卡伊斯托裏爾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01本菲卡 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02伊斯托裏爾 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

本菲卡 vs 伊斯托裏爾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

本菲卡 82%, 12%,伊斯托裏爾 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · 大2.5 75% · Current selection