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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Zápas ·

Benfica vs Estoril

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–13.96 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich82%
Remíza12%
Výhra hostí6%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich82% selection probability
Projected score3–1BenficaEstoril
Expected goals3.96Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac75% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
82% / 12% / 6%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estoril win (6.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X93.7%1.07
Viac 75% · Menej 25%Goals 2.5Viac75%1.33
Áno 52% · Nie 48%Oba tímy skórujúÁno52%1.92
3.96 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica win82%1.221.1781.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza12%8.338.0011.9%+0.1 pp
Estoril win6%16.6715.006.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica3.17

Domáci share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.96Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 75% · Menej 25%

Estoril0.79

Hostia share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 52% · Nie 48%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Benfica

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Výhra probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
3
3.17
Expected goals
0.79
BenficaEstoril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estoril signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Benfica vs Estoril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica výhra 82%,Remíza 12%,Estoril výhra 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Viac 2.5 75% · Current selection Viac