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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Partido ·

Benfica vs Estoril

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.96 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local82%
Empate12%
Victoria visitante6%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local82% selection probability
Projected score3–1BenficaEstoril
Expected goals3.96Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de75% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
82% / 12% / 6%Resultado del partidoVictoria local82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estoril win (6.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X93.7%1.07
Más de 75% · Menos de 25%Goals 2.5Más de75%1.33
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
3.96 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica win82%1.221.1781.7%+0.3 pp
Empate12%8.338.0011.9%+0.1 pp
Estoril win6%16.6715.006.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica3.17

Local share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.96Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 75% · Menos de 25%

Estoril0.79

Visitante share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Benfica

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Ganado probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
3
3.17
Expected goals
0.79
BenficaEstoril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estoril signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Benfica vs Estoril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica ganada 82%,Empate 12%,Estoril ganada 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Más de 2.5 75% · Current selection Más de