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ARG 阿根廷乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

卡塞羅斯學生 vs 瑪德恩

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.02 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝49%
31%
客勝20%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝49% selection probability
Projected score1–1卡塞羅斯學生瑪德恩
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.567% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
49% / 31% / 20%比賽結果主勝49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 瑪德恩 win (19.7%)雙重機會1X80.3%1.25
大 33% · 小 67%Goals 2.567%1.49
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
2.02 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gap瑪德恩 winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
卡塞羅斯學生 win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
31%3.233.0031.1%-0.1 pp
瑪德恩 win20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

卡塞羅斯學生1.29

主隊 share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 33% · 67%

瑪德恩0.73

客隊 share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

卡塞羅斯學生

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

瑪德恩

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
贏 probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.29
Expected goals
0.73
卡塞羅斯學生瑪德恩
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01卡塞羅斯學生 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02瑪德恩 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

卡塞羅斯學生 vs 瑪德恩 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

卡塞羅斯學生 49%, 31%,瑪德恩 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · 大2.5 33% · Current selection