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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Meci ·

CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Madryn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.02 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Estudiantes CaserosDeportivo Madryn
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 31% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Madryn win (19.7%)Șansă dublă1X80.3%1.25
Peste 33% · Sub 67%Goals 2.5Sub67%1.49
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
2.02 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDeportivo Madryn winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Estudiantes Caseros win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
Egal31%3.233.0031.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Madryn win20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Estudiantes Caseros1.29

Gazde share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 33% · Sub 67%

Deportivo Madryn0.73

Oaspeți share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

CA Estudiantes Caseros

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Madryn

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.29
Expected goals
0.73
CA Estudiantes CaserosDeportivo Madryn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Estudiantes Caseros signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Madryn signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Madryn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Estudiantes Caseros câștig 49%,Egal 31%,Deportivo Madryn câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · Peste 2.5 33% · Current selection Sub