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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partido ·

CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Madryn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Estudiantes CaserosDeportivo Madryn
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 31% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Madryn win (19.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.3%1.25
Más de 33% · Menos de 67%Goals 2.5Menos de67%1.49
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
2.03 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDeportivo Madryn winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Estudiantes Caseros win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
Empate31%3.233.0031.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Madryn win20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Estudiantes Caseros1.30

Local share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 33% · Menos de 67%

Deportivo Madryn0.73

Visitante share of expected goals 36%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CA Estudiantes Caseros

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Madryn

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
0.73
CA Estudiantes CaserosDeportivo Madryn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Estudiantes Caseros signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Madryn signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Madryn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Estudiantes Caseros ganada 49%,Empate 31%,Deportivo Madryn ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Más de 2.5 33% · Current selection Menos de