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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · Final ·

艾路卡 vs 蒙拉尼斯

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score4–0預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝49%
28%
客勝23%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝49% selection probability
Projected score2–1艾路卡蒙拉尼斯
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
49% / 28% / 23%比賽結果主勝49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 蒙拉尼斯 win (23.4%)雙重機會1X76.6%1.31
大 54% · 小 46%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.85 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gap艾路卡 winDifference-0.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
艾路卡 win49%2.041.9149.3%-0.3 pp
28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
蒙拉尼斯 win23%4.354.1023%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

艾路卡1.62

主隊 share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 54% · 46%

蒙拉尼斯1.23

客隊 share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

艾路卡

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

蒙拉尼斯

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
贏 probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
艾路卡蒙拉尼斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01艾路卡 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02蒙拉尼斯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

艾路卡 vs 蒙拉尼斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

艾路卡 49%, 28%,蒙拉尼斯 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · 大2.5 54% · Current selection