Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
49% / 28% / 23%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (23.4%)Dupla esély1X76.6%1.31
Felett 54% · Alatt 46%Goals 2.5Felett54%1.85
Igen 57% · Nem 43%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1——
8.8 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arouca win49%2.041.9149.3%-0.3 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Moreirense win23%4.354.1023%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hazai share of expected goals 56.8%
Total expected goals2.85Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Felett 54% · Alatt 46%
Vendég share of expected goals 43.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 57% · Nem 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hazai-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFC Arouca
WWWDL
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10
SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5
Vendég-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchMoreirense
DWDLW
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8
SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Nyert probability excluding draw
23%10
Points from supplied form
81.62
Expected goals
1.23FC AroucaMoreirense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
FC Arouca vs Moreirense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Arouca nyer 49%，Döntetlen 28%，Moreirense nyer 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.85 · 2.5 felett 54% · Current selection Felett。