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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Final ·

ФК Арука vs Морейрензе

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score4–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен28%
Победа за госта23%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК АрукаМорейрензе
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 28% / 23%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Морейрензе win (23.4%)Двоен шанс1X76.6%1.31
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapФК Арука winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Арука win49%2.041.9149.3%-0.3 pp
Равен28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Морейрензе win23%4.354.1023%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Арука1.62

Домакин share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

Морейрензе1.23

Гост share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Арука

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Морейрензе

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
ФК АрукаМорейрензе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Арука signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Морейрензе signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ФК Арука vs Морейрензе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Арука печеливш 49%,Равен 28%,Морейрензе печеливш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над