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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · Round 22 ·

雲南玉昆 vs 成都蓉城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.61 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝26%
22%
客勝52%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝52% selection probability
Projected score2–2雲南玉昆成都蓉城
Expected goals3.61初盤 match profile
Goals 2.570% for the selected side
雙方進球69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
26% / 22% / 52%比賽結果客勝52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)雙重機會1278.3%1.28
大 70% · 小 30%Goals 2.570%1.43
是 69% · 否 31%雙方進球69%1.45
3.61 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
雲南玉昆 win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
成都蓉城 win52%1.921.8052.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

雲南玉昆1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 42.7%

Total expected goals3.61初盤

Dedicated goals model: 70% · 30%

成都蓉城2.07

客隊 share of expected goals 57.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · 31%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

雲南玉昆

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

成都蓉城

1.40pts / match
5Wins1Drawn4Losses0積分7

Signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
贏 probability excluding draw
52%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
2.07
雲南玉昆成都蓉城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01雲南玉昆 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02成都蓉城 signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

雲南玉昆 vs 成都蓉城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

雲南玉昆 26%, 22%,成都蓉城 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · 大2.5 70% · Current selection