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Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–23.05 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng7%
Hòa12%
Đội khách thắng81%
Market-based forecastĐội khách thắngTier B · 81% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng81% selection probability
Projected score1–2Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Expected goals3.05Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài60% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
7% / 12% / 81%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Erzgebirge Aue win (6.6%)Cơ hội képX293.4%1.07
Tài 60% · Xỉu 40%Goals 2.5Tài60%1.67
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
3.05 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKhông có
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Erzgebirge Aue win7%14.2917.005.5%
Hòa12%8.338.5011.1%
TSG Hoffenheim win81%1.231.1383.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erzgebirge Aue0.80

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 26.2%

Total expected goals3.05Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 60% · Xỉu 40%

TSG Hoffenheim2.25

Khách share of expected goals 73.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Erzgebirge Aue

2.00pts / match
Số trận3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

Khách-context · form sequence

TSG Hoffenheim

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Thắng probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.80
Expected goals
2.25
Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erzgebirge Aue signalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TSG Hoffenheim signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erzgebirge Aue thắng 7%,Hòa 12%,TSG Hoffenheim thắng 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Tài 2.5 60% · Current selection Tài