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DEU Germania - Coppa DFB · Partita ·

Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa5%
Pareggio11%
Vittoria ospite84%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 84% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite84% selection probability
Projected score1–2Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
5% / 11% / 84%Esito partitaVittoria ospite84%1.19
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Erzgebirge Aue win (5.1%)Doppia ChanceX294.9%1.05
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
3.01 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Erzgebirge Aue win5%20.0023.004%
Pareggio11%9.0910.009.3%
TSG Hoffenheim win84%1.191.0786.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erzgebirge Aue0.76

Casa share of expected goals 25.2%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

TSG Hoffenheim2.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 74.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Erzgebirge Aue

2.00pts / match
Giocate3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Trasferta-context · form sequence

TSG Hoffenheim

2.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punti4

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
5%
Vinta probability excluding draw
84%
6
Points from supplied form
4
0.76
Expected goals
2.25
Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erzgebirge Aue signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TSG Hoffenheim signalTrasferta unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk16% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 84% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erzgebirge Aue vinta 5%,Pareggio 11%,TSG Hoffenheim vinta 84%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra