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DEU Tyskland - DFB Pokal · Match ·

Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger5%
Oavgjort11%
Bortaseger84%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 84% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger84% selection probability
Projected score1–2Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
5% / 11% / 84%MatchresultatBortaseger84%1.19
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Erzgebirge Aue win (5.1%)DubbelchansX294.9%1.05
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
3.01 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Erzgebirge Aue win5%20.0023.004%
Oavgjort11%9.0910.009.3%
TSG Hoffenheim win84%1.191.0786.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erzgebirge Aue0.76

Hemma share of expected goals 25.2%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

TSG Hoffenheim2.25

Borta share of expected goals 74.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Erzgebirge Aue

2.00pts / match
Spelade3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Borta-context · form sequence

TSG Hoffenheim

2.00pts / match
Spelade2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Poäng4

SignalBorta unbeaten 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
5%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
84%
6
Points from supplied form
4
0.76
Expected goals
2.25
Erzgebirge AueTSG Hoffenheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erzgebirge Aue signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TSG Hoffenheim signalBorta unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk16% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Erzgebirge Aue vs TSG Hoffenheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 84% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erzgebirge Aue vunnen 5%,Oavgjort 11%,TSG Hoffenheim vunnen 84%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över