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DEU Германия - ДФБ Покал · Матч ·

Эрцгебирге Ауэ vs ТСГ Хоффенхайм

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев5%
Ничья11%
Победа гостей84%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 84% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей84% selection probability
Projected score1–2Эрцгебирге АуэТСГ Хоффенхайм
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
5% / 11% / 84%Исход матчаПобеда гостей84%1.19
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эрцгебирге Ауэ win (5.1%)Двойной шансX294.9%1.05
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
3.01 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эрцгебирге Ауэ win5%20.0023.004%
Ничья11%9.0910.009.3%
ТСГ Хоффенхайм win84%1.191.0786.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эрцгебирге Ауэ0.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 25.2%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

ТСГ Хоффенхайм2.25

Гости share of expected goals 74.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эрцгебирге Ауэ

2.00pts / match
Сыграно3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

Гости-context · form sequence

ТСГ Хоффенхайм

2.00pts / match
Сыграно2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
5%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
84%
6
Points from supplied form
4
0.76
Expected goals
2.25
Эрцгебирге АуэТСГ Хоффенхайм
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эрцгебирге Ауэ signalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ТСГ Хоффенхайм signalГости unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk16% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Эрцгебирге Ауэ vs ТСГ Хоффенхайм FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 84% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эрцгебирге Ауэ выигрыш 5%,Ничья 11%,ТСГ Хоффенхайм выигрыш 84%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше