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BEL Belgium First Division B · Maç ·

RFC Seraing vs Lierse SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır33%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RFC SeraingLierse SK
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 27% / 33%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Çifte Şans1272.7%1.38
Üst 38% · Alt 62%Goals 2.5Alt62%1.61
Evet 45% · Hayır 55%Karşılıklı gol varHayır55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapRFC Seraing winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RFC Seraing win40%2.502.2539.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Lierse SK win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFC Seraing1.21

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 38% · Alt 62%

Lierse SK1.01

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 45% · Hayır 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

RFC Seraing

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Lierse SK

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
1.01
RFC SeraingLierse SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFC Seraing signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lierse SK signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

RFC Seraing vs Lierse SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFC Seraing kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 27%,Lierse SK kazanç 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · 2.5 Üst 38% · Current selection Alt