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BEL Bélgica - Primera División B · Partido ·

RFC Seraing vs Lierse SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RFC SeraingLierse SK
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 27% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doble Oportunidad1272.7%1.38
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapRFC Seraing winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RFC Seraing win40%2.502.2539.8%+0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Lierse SK win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFC Seraing1.21

Local share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

Lierse SK1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

RFC Seraing

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lierse SK

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
1.01
RFC SeraingLierse SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFC Seraing signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lierse SK signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

RFC Seraing vs Lierse SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFC Seraing ganada 40%,Empate 27%,Lierse SK ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de