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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
BEL België - Eerste klasse B · Wedstrijd ·

RFC Seraing vs K. Lierse S.K.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RFC SeraingK. Lierse S.K.
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 27% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapRFC Seraing winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RFC Seraing win40%2.502.2539.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
K. Lierse S.K. win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFC Seraing1.21

Thuis share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

K. Lierse S.K.1.01

Uit share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

RFC Seraing

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

K. Lierse S.K.

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
1.01
RFC SeraingK. Lierse S.K.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFC Seraing signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02K. Lierse S.K. signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

RFC Seraing vs K. Lierse S.K. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFC Seraing gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 27%,K. Lierse S.K. gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder