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BEL België - Eerste klasse B · Wedstrijd ·

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst38%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Excelsior VirtonFrancs Borains
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 27% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Virton win35%2.862.6034.4%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.2527.5%
Francs Borains win38%2.632.3538.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Virton1.38

Thuis share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Francs Borains1.40

Uit share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Excelsior Virton

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Francs Borains

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.38
Expected goals
1.40
Excelsior VirtonFrancs Borains
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Virton signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Francs Borains signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Virton gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 27%,Francs Borains gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven