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BEL Belgium First Division B · Fixture ·

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw27%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Excelsior VirtonFrancs Borains
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 27% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Virton win35%2.862.6034.4%
Draw27%3.703.2527.5%
Francs Borains win38%2.632.3538.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Virton1.38

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Francs Borains1.40

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Excelsior Virton

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Francs Borains

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.38
Expected goals
1.40
Excelsior VirtonFrancs Borains
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Virton signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Francs Borains signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Virton win 35%,Draw 27%,Francs Borains win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over