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ENG England Championship · Round 1 ·

Watford vs Southampton

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.97 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır26%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır48%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır48% selection probability
Projected score1–2WatfordSouthampton
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst57% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
26% / 27% / 48%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Watford win (25.7%)Çifte ŞansX274.3%1.35
Üst 57% · Alt 43%Goals 2.5Üst57%1.75
Evet 57% · Hayır 43%Karşılıklı gol varEvet57%1.75
2.97 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapSouthampton winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Watford win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Southampton win48%2.082.0047%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Watford1.09

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 57% · Alt 43%

Southampton1.88

Deplasman share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 57% · Hayır 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Watford

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Southampton

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
48%
3
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
1.88
WatfordSouthampton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Watford signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Southampton signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Watford vs Southampton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Watford kazanç 26%,Beraberlik 27%,Southampton kazanç 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · 2.5 Üst 57% · Current selection Üst