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ENG Anglicko - Championship · Round 1 ·

Watford vs Southampton

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.97 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich26%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí48%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí48% selection probability
Projected score1–2WatfordSouthampton
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
26% / 27% / 48%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Watford win (25.7%)Dvojitá šancaX274.3%1.35
Viac 57% · Menej 43%Goals 2.5Viac57%1.75
Áno 57% · Nie 43%Oba tímy skórujúÁno57%1.75
2.97 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.7 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapSouthampton winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Watford win26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Remíza27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Southampton win48%2.082.0047%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Watford1.09

Domáci share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 57% · Menej 43%

Southampton1.88

Hostia share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Watford

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Southampton

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
48%
3
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
1.88
WatfordSouthampton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Watford signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Southampton signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Watford vs Southampton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Watford výhra 26%,Remíza 27%,Southampton výhra 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Viac 2.5 57% · Current selection Viac