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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Final ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score2–0Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır56%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır17%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
56% / 27% / 17%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.3%)Çifte Şans1X82.7%1.21
Üst 35% · Alt 65%Goals 2.5Alt65%1.54
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
2.11 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapKocaelispor winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.791.7055.3%+0.7 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Kocaelispor win17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.59

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 35% · Alt 65%

Kocaelispor0.52

Deplasman share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.59
Expected goals
0.52
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir kazanç 56%,Beraberlik 27%,Kocaelispor kazanç 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · 2.5 Üst 35% · Current selection Alt