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INT Turkiet - Super Lig · Final ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score2–0Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger17%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 27% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.3%)Dubbelchans1X82.7%1.21
Över 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Båda lagen gör målNej67%1.49
2.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapKocaelispor winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.791.7055.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Kocaelispor win17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.59

Hemma share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 35% · Under 65%

Kocaelispor0.52

Borta share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalBorta failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.59
Expected goals
0.52
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalBorta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 27%,Kocaelispor vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Över 2.5 35% · Current selection Under