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INT Törökország - Super Lig · Final ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score2–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem56%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem17%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt65% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
56% / 27% / 17%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.3%)Dupla esély1X82.7%1.21
Felett 35% · Alatt 65%Goals 2.5Alatt65%1.54
Igen 33% · Nem 67%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67%1.49
2.11 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.8 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapKocaelispor winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.791.7055.3%+0.7 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Kocaelispor win17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.59

Hazai share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 35% · Alatt 65%

Kocaelispor0.52

Vendég share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 33% · Nem 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalVendég matches under 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalVendég failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Nyert probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.59
Expected goals
0.52
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalVendég matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalVendég failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir nyer 56%,Döntetlen 27%,Kocaelispor nyer 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · 2.5 felett 35% · Current selection Alatt