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INT Turquie - Super lig · Final ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 27% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.3%)Double chance1X82.7%1.21
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
2.11 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapKocaelispor winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.791.7055.3%+0.7 pp
Nul27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Kocaelispor win17%5.885.2517.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.59

Domicile share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Kocaelispor0.52

Extérieur share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.59
Expected goals
0.52
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir victoire 56%,Nul 27%,Kocaelispor victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de