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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 19 ·

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır65%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır16%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır65% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Expected goals3.93Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst75% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
65% / 19% / 16%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (15.6%)Çifte Şans1X84.4%1.18
Üst 75% · Alt 25%Goals 2.5Üst75%1.33
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFK Atmosfera winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atmosfera win65%1.541.4263.1%+1.9 pp
Beraberlik19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
FA Siauliai II win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atmosfera3.22

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals3.93Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 75% · Alt 25%

FA Siauliai II0.71

Deplasman share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FK Atmosfera

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai II

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
16%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.22
Expected goals
0.71
FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atmosfera signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Siauliai II signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atmosfera kazanç 65%,Beraberlik 19%,FA Siauliai II kazanç 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · 2.5 Üst 75% · Current selection Üst