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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 19 ·

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa73%
Empate17%
Vitória visitante10%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa73% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Expected goals3.93Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima75% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
73% / 17% / 10%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (10.3%)Dupla Chance1X89.7%1.11
Acima 75% · Abaixo 25%Goals 2.5Acima75%1.33
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
9.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
FK Atmosfera win73%1.37
Empate17%5.88
FA Siauliai II win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atmosfera3.22

Mandante share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals3.93Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 75% · Abaixo 25%

FA Siauliai II0.71

Visitante share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FK Atmosfera

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai II

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.22
Expected goals
0.71
FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atmosfera signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Siauliai II signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atmosfera ganhou 73%,Empate 17%,FA Siauliai II ganhou 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Acima 2.5 75% · Current selection Acima