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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 19 ·

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier65%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier16%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier65% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Expected goals3.93Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
65% / 19% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (15.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X84.4%1.18
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFK Atmosfera winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atmosfera win65%1.541.4263.1%+1.9 pp
Uavgjort19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
FA Siauliai II win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atmosfera3.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals3.93Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

FA Siauliai II0.71

Borte share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Atmosfera

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai II

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.22
Expected goals
0.71
FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atmosfera signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Siauliai II signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atmosfera vunnet 65%,Uavgjort 19%,FA Siauliai II vunnet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over