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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Final ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score3–0Tahmin 3–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır70%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır11%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 70% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır70% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Expected goals3.45Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst67% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
70% / 19% / 11%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Çifte Şans1X89.1%1.12
Üst 67% · Alt 33%Goals 2.5Üst67%1.49
Evet 44% · Hayır 56%Karşılıklı gol varHayır56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Beraberlik19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.83

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.45Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 67% · Alt 33%

Al Fateh SC0.62

Deplasman share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 44% · Hayır 56%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.83
Expected goals
0.62
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh kazanç 70%,Beraberlik 19%,Al Fateh SC kazanç 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · 2.5 Üst 67% · Current selection Üst