Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 19% / 11%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Double chance1X89.1%1.12
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Draw19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 82%
Total expected goals3.45Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 18%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchAl-Nassr Riyadh
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAl Fateh SC
DWLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
70%
Win probability excluding draw
11%10
Points from supplied form
52.83
Expected goals
0.62Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al-Nassr Riyadh win 70%，Draw 19%，Al Fateh SC win 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.45 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。