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INT Arabia Saudita - Pro League · Final ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score3–0Predicție 3–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde70%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți11%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 70% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde70% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Expected goals3.45Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
70% / 19% / 11%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Șansă dublă1X89.1%1.12
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 44% · Nu 56%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Egal19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.83

Gazde share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.45Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Al Fateh SC0.62

Oaspeți share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 44% · Nu 56%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Câștig probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.83
Expected goals
0.62
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh câștig 70%,Egal 19%,Al Fateh SC câștig 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste