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INT Arábia Saudita - Saudi Pro League · Final ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–0Previsão 3–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa70%
Empate19%
Vitória visitante11%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 70% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa70% selection probability
Projected score3–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Expected goals3.45Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima67% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
70% / 19% / 11%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Fateh SC win (10.9%)Dupla Chance1X89.1%1.12
Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%Goals 2.5Acima67%1.49
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
3.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Al-Nassr Riyadh win70%1.43
Empate19%5.26
Al Fateh SC win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.83

Mandante share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.45Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%

Al Fateh SC0.62

Visitante share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.83
Expected goals
0.62
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh ganhou 70%,Empate 19%,Al Fateh SC ganhou 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Acima 2.5 67% · Current selection Acima