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ARG Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana · Round 32 ·

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 32% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dubbelchans1268%1.47
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.7532.5%-0.5 pp
CS Dock Sud win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Merlo1.23

Hemma share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

CS Dock Sud1.40

Borta share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportivo Merlo

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CS Dock Sud

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
1.40
Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Merlo signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Dock Sud signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Merlo vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 32%,CS Dock Sud vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under