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ARG Argentina - Primera B · Round 32 ·

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local35%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
35% / 32% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Doble Oportunidad1268%1.47
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 54% · No 46%Ambos equipos marcan54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Empate32%3.132.7532.5%-0.5 pp
CS Dock Sud win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Merlo1.23

Local share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

CS Dock Sud1.40

Visitante share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportivo Merlo

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CS Dock Sud

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
1.40
Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Merlo signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Dock Sud signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Merlo ganada 35%,Empate 32%,CS Dock Sud ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de