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ARG Аргентина - Примера B Метрополитана · Round 32 ·

Депортиво Мерло vs ФК Док Суд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Депортиво МерлоФК Док Суд
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 32% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Двойной шанс1268%1.47
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Депортиво Мерло win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Ничья32%3.132.7532.5%-0.5 pp
ФК Док Суд win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Депортиво Мерло1.23

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

ФК Док Суд1.40

Гости share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Депортиво Мерло

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Док Суд

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
1.40
Депортиво МерлоФК Док Суд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Депортиво Мерло signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Док Суд signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Депортиво Мерло vs ФК Док Суд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Депортиво Мерло выигрыш 35%,Ничья 32%,ФК Док Суд выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше