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ARG Argentyna - Primera B Metropolitana · Round 32 ·

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy35%
Remis32%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
35% / 32% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Podwójna szansa1268%1.47
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Remis32%3.132.7532.5%-0.5 pp
CS Dock Sud win33%3.032.7532.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Merlo1.23

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

CS Dock Sud1.40

Goście share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Deportivo Merlo

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

CS Dock Sud

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.23
Expected goals
1.40
Deportivo MerloCS Dock Sud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Merlo signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Dock Sud signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Merlo vs CS Dock Sud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Merlo wygrana 35%,Remis 32%,CS Dock Sud wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej