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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–1Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger30%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 28% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dubbelchans1272.2%1.39
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Sousense win42%2.382.1542%
Oavgjort28%3.573.2527.8%
AD Castro Daire win30%3.333.0030.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Sousense1.33

Hemma share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

AD Castro Daire1.06

Borta share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

UD Sousense

0.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Borta-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.33
Expected goals
1.06
UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Sousense signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Castro Daire signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Sousense vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 28%,AD Castro Daire vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under