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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg30%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 28% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppelte Chance1272.2%1.39
Über 43% · Unter 57%Goals 2.5Unter57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Sousense win42%2.382.1542%
Unentschieden28%3.573.2527.8%
AD Castro Daire win30%3.333.0030.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Sousense1.33

Heim share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 43% · Unter 57%

AD Castro Daire1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

UD Sousense

0.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punkte0

SignalNein recent signal

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punkte0

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.33
Expected goals
1.06
UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Sousense signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Castro Daire signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Sousense Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 28%,AD Castro Daire Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Über 2.5 43% · Current selection Unter