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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

União Desportiva Sousense vs AD Castro Daire

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–1Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante30%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1União Desportiva SousenseAD Castro Daire
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dupla Chance1272.2%1.39
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
União Desportiva Sousense win42%2.382.1542%
Empate28%3.573.2527.8%
AD Castro Daire win30%3.333.0030.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

União Desportiva Sousense1.33

Mandante share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

AD Castro Daire1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

União Desportiva Sousense

0.00pts / match
Jogos1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Pontos0

SignalNão recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Jogos1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Pontos0

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.33
Expected goals
1.06
União Desportiva SousenseAD Castro Daire
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01União Desportiva Sousense signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Castro Daire signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

União Desportiva Sousense vs AD Castro Daire FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

União Desportiva Sousense ganhou 42%,Empate 28%,AD Castro Daire ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo