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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante30%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doble Oportunidad1272.2%1.39
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Sousense win42%2.382.1542%
Empate28%3.573.2527.8%
AD Castro Daire win30%3.333.0030.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Sousense1.33

Local share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

AD Castro Daire1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

UD Sousense

0.00pts / match
Jugados1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Jugados1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.33
Expected goals
1.06
UD SousenseAD Castro Daire
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Sousense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Castro Daire signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UD Sousense vs AD Castro Daire FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Sousense ganada 42%,Empate 28%,AD Castro Daire ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de