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URY Uruguay Segunda · Match ·

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CerritoUruguay Montevideo
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 31% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Uruguay Montevideo win (28.6%)Dubbelchans1X71.4%1.40
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Cerrito win40%2.50
Oavgjort31%3.23
Uruguay Montevideo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerrito1.27

Hemma share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

Uruguay Montevideo0.92

Borta share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cerrito

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Uruguay Montevideo

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerrito signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Uruguay Montevideo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerrito vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 31%,Uruguay Montevideo vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under