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URY Uruguay Segunda · Матч ·

Cerrito vs Уругвай Монтевидео

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CerritoУругвай Монтевидео
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 31% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Уругвай Монтевидео win (28.6%)Двойной шанс1X71.4%1.40
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Cerrito win40%2.50
Ничья31%3.23
Уругвай Монтевидео win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerrito1.27

Хозяева share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

Уругвай Монтевидео0.92

Гости share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Cerrito

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Уругвай Монтевидео

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
0.92
CerritoУругвай Монтевидео
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerrito signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уругвай Монтевидео signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Cerrito vs Уругвай Монтевидео FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerrito выигрыш 40%,Ничья 31%,Уругвай Монтевидео выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше