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SCO Skottland - Premiership · Match ·

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger59%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger59% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellDundee Utd
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
59% / 25% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16%)Dubbelchans1X84%1.19
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Motherwell win59%1.69
Oavgjort25%4.00
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.06

Hemma share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Dundee Utd0.65

Borta share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
3
2.06
Expected goals
0.65
MotherwellDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell vunnen 59%,Oavgjort 25%,Dundee Utd vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över