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SCO 蘇格蘭超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

馬瑟維爾 vs 鄧地聯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝59%
25%
客勝16%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝59% selection probability
Projected score2–1馬瑟維爾鄧地聯
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
59% / 25% / 16%比賽結果主勝59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 鄧地聯 win (16%)雙重機會1X84%1.19
大 51% · 小 49%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.71 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
馬瑟維爾 win59%1.69
25%4.00
鄧地聯 win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬瑟維爾2.06

主隊 share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 51% · 49%

鄧地聯0.65

客隊 share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬瑟維爾

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

鄧地聯

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
贏 probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
3
2.06
Expected goals
0.65
馬瑟維爾鄧地聯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬瑟維爾 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02鄧地聯 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

馬瑟維爾 vs 鄧地聯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬瑟維爾 59%, 25%,鄧地聯 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · 大2.5 51% · Current selection