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SCO Scozia - Premiership · Partita ·

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa59%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite16%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa59% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellDundee Utd
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
59% / 25% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16%)Doppia Chance1X84%1.19
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 42% · No 58%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58%1.72
2.71 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Motherwell win59%1.69
Pareggio25%4.00
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.06

Casa share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Dundee Utd0.65

Trasferta share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
3
2.06
Expected goals
0.65
MotherwellDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell vinta 59%,Pareggio 25%,Dundee Utd vinta 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra