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SCO Scozia - Premiership · Partita ·

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite14%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1CelticAberdeen
Expected goals3.17Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 22% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aberdeen win (14.4%)Doppia Chance1X85.6%1.17
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
3.17 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Celtic win64%1.56
Pareggio22%4.55
Aberdeen win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celtic2.46

Casa share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.17Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

Aberdeen0.71

Trasferta share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.46
Expected goals
0.71
CelticAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celtic signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Celtic vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celtic vinta 64%,Pareggio 22%,Aberdeen vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra