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SCO Schottland - Premiership · Spiel ·

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg64%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg64% selection probability
Projected score2–1CelticAberdeen
Expected goals3.17Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
64% / 22% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aberdeen win (14.4%)Doppelte Chance1X85.6%1.17
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
3.17 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Celtic win64%1.56
Unentschieden22%4.55
Aberdeen win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celtic2.46

Heim share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.17Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Aberdeen0.71

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.46
Expected goals
0.71
CelticAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celtic signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Celtic vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celtic Gewinn 64%,Unentschieden 22%,Aberdeen Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über