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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Match ·

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile64%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile64% selection probability
Projected score2–1CelticAberdeen
Expected goals3.17Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
64% / 22% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aberdeen win (14.4%)Double chance1X85.6%1.17
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
3.17 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Celtic win64%1.56
Nul22%4.55
Aberdeen win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celtic2.46

Domicile share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.17Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%

Aberdeen0.71

Extérieur share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.46
Expected goals
0.71
CelticAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celtic signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Celtic vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celtic victoire 64%,Nul 22%,Aberdeen victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de