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Djurgårdens IF vs Mjällby AIF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Djurgårdens IFMjällby AIF
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 27% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mjällby AIF win (26.1%)Dubbelchans1X73.9%1.35
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Djurgårdens IF win46%2.17
Oavgjort27%3.70
Mjällby AIF win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Djurgårdens IF1.75

Hemma share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Mjällby AIF1.07

Borta share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Djurgårdens IF

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.07
Djurgårdens IFMjällby AIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Djurgårdens IF signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mjällby AIF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Djurgårdens IF vs Mjällby AIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Djurgårdens IF vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 27%,Mjällby AIF vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över