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HRV Kroatien - HNL · Match ·

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger17%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger60%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Expected goals3.13Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
17% / 23% / 60%MatchresultatBortaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (17.4%)DubbelchansX282.6%1.21
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målNej50%2.00
3.13 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDinamo Zagreb winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istra 1961 win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Dinamo Zagreb win60%1.671.5358.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istra 19610.80

Hemma share of expected goals 25.6%

Total expected goals3.13Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

Dinamo Zagreb2.33

Borta share of expected goals 74.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Istra 1961

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Dinamo Zagreb

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
60%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.80
Expected goals
2.33
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istra 1961 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Zagreb signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istra 1961 vunnen 17%,Oavgjort 23%,Dinamo Zagreb vunnen 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över